Precinct Analysis Sample

Precincts are ranked and categorized according to several criteria, including the Average Republican Percent. In the example below the "Marriage issue" column refers to a gay-marriage proposal on the ballot; such results can be useful in identifying D-leaning precincts that might be opportunities for a Republican candidate. Here's a more detailed explanation.

Avg. R Ticket Avg High R Marriage Percent Turnout Registered
County Precinct Cat. Rank Percent Split Pres Percent Race Issue Needed Percent Voters
Clay AUBURN TWP 2 7 53.3 52.5 66.5 72.9 Gov 10 70.4 60.1 49.4 520
Clay BALTIC VILL 2 5 54.9 53.3 70.1 75.2 Gov 10 73 62 55.5 382
Clay BEAVER VILL 3 37 46.1 46.5 52.4 66.9 Gov 10 67.2 52.1 61.5 660
Clay BUCKS TWP 2 4 59.5 50.2 77.3 78.6 Romney 73.3 66.9 51 529
Clay CLAY TWP 3 46 41 51.2 46.3 58.8 Cong 12 67.8 46.3 59.2 448
Clay DENNISON VILL 1 5 71 33.2 47.8 37.1 53.8 Cong 12 61.9 37.4 50.8 687
Clay DENNISON VILL 2 5 80 30.7 43.1 33.5 46.2 Cong 12 61.5 34.7 46.7 734
Clay EASTON 01 A 1 42 46 55.8 49.3 64.8 Gov 10 57.5 51.8 54.1 688
Clay EASTON 01 B 3 53 45.3 47.8 52.6 63.7 Cong 12 57 51.1 63.3 664
Clay EASTON 01 C 1 19 49.2 56.1 58 69.2 Cong 12 61.9 55.5 62.5 749
Clay EASTON 02 A 1 32 45.8 53.6 53.7 71.1 StRep10 59.1 51.5 65.8 745
Clay EASTON 02 B 3 23 49.5 51.4 58.7 70.3 Gov 10 59.5 55.7 61.7 793
Clay EASTON 02 C 1 12 49.7 53.5 60.3 71.7 Gov 10 63.7 56 61.5 932
Clay EASTON 03 A 3 52 45.4 48.9 53.3 61.8 Gov 10 56 51.3 53.2 551
Clay EASTON 03 B 5 65 41.2 47.3 47.4 58.2 Cong 12 57 46.3 50.3 650
Clay EASTON 03 C 3 45 45.5 52.9 53.2 65.3 Gov 10 55.2 51.1 63.2 691
Clay EASTON 04 A 5 69 37.2 52 40.5 54.6 Gov 10 52.4 41.8 44 561
Clay EASTON 04 B 5 81 36.8 44.2 37.9 49.7 Gov 10 51.9 41.4 51.1 567
Clay EASTON 04 C 3 57 42.4 47.6 47.8 63.8 StRep10 60.5 47.7 58.3 684
Clay EASTON TWP 1 2 9 50.6 53 64.2 72.4 Gov 10 65.9 57 64.7 832
Clay EASTON TWP 2 2 21 51 50 61.8 69 Gov 10 62.2 57.5 58.8 711
Clay EASTON TWP 3 3 26 50.1 44.7 62.9 66.9 Gov 10 64.5 56.3 60.4 898
Clay EASTON TWP 4 3 41 45.3 46.8 53.1 63.3 Cong 12 66.3 51.1 56.9 635
Clay FAIRFIELD TWP 3 63 43.7 40.4 53.4 60 Gov 10 60.5 49.3 58.7 1,003
Clay FRANKLIN TWP 3 18 50 47.7 61.5 68.7 Gov 10 66.4 56.3 61.3 1,236
Clay GOSHEN CITY 3 47 41.7 47.7 48.1 63.4 Cong 12 66.2 47 63.8 828
Clay GOSHEN 1/PALMER 1 30 53.2 70.6 49.9 61 Cong 12 61.1 59.9 59.1 755
Clay GOSHEN 3/FERRIS 5 68 37.4 47.9 42.1 51.3 Cong 12 61.5 42.2 50.2 829
Clay GOSHEN TWP 2 3 34 46 49.5 54.8 65 Cong 12 64.9 51.7 60.2 716
Clay GOSHEN TWP 4 3 36 45.2 42.6 54.9 69.4 StRep10 67.8 50.9 58.7 736
Clay LAWRENCE 1/EDMOND 3 49 48.4 40.4 53.7 63.1 Gov 10 63.3 54.5 53.5 658
Clay LAWRENCE TWP 2 2 31 51.3 40.8 58.2 67 Gov 10 65.2 57.8 62.5 1,033
Clay LAWRENCE TWP 3 2 11 51.3 50.5 58.8 69.6 Gov 10 69.4 57.8 60.6 566
Clay LAWRENCE TWP 4 2 22 51.4 42.7 59.3 68.2 Gov 10 68.1 57.9 62.9 817
Clay MIDVALE VILL 4 61 37.5 58.1 29.9 44 Cong 12 62.2 42.5 55.1 381
Clay MILL TWP 5 78 34.4 42.7 41.7 51.3 Cong 12 61.1 38.8 53.8 1,087
Clay MINERVA CITY 5 73 38.8 37.2 40.3 55.7 Cong 08 62.1 43.7 48.4 430
Clay MONTCLAIR 01 A 5 67 39.6 48.6 44.2 54.5 Gov 10 55.5 44.7 44.3 720
Clay MONTCLAIR 01 B 3 59 41.6 45.5 47.4 66.6 StRep10 57.3 47 52 667
Clay MONTCLAIR 01 C 3 54 40.9 57.6 46.3 60.3 Cong 12 58.7 45.9 58.7 807
Clay MONTCLAIR 01 D 4 62 39.2 44.7 42.3 65.4 StRep10 61.6 44.1 51.4 597
Clay MONTCLAIR 02 A 3 38 43.2 68.6 49.5 69 Cong 12 60.2 48.7 54.3 797
Clay MONTCLAIR 02 B 3 24 49 52.8 55.2 77.4 StRep10 55.4 55.2 65.3 697
Clay MONTCLAIR 02 C 1 29 46.8 60.8 54.6 68.3 Gov 10 61.1 52.8 61.4 850
Clay MONTCLAIR 02 D 3 25 48.3 51.4 54.1 84.2 StRep10 59.7 54.4 51.7 660
Clay MONTCLAIR 03 A 5 74 38.9 42.7 40 60.5 StRep10 53.4 43.8 42.5 642
Clay MONTCLAIR 03 B 3 48 44.9 48.5 51.1 74.2 StRep10 54.6 50.7 47 625
Clay MONTCLAIR 03 C 3 28 46.9 51.3 54.5 73 StRep10 61.8 52.8 41.8 445
Clay MONTCLAIR 03 D 5 77 37.8 46.7 39 49.6 Gov 10 55.5 42.6 44.8 723
Clay MONTCLAIR 04 A 3 40 47.7 45.2 53.6 72.8 StRep10 60.1 53.8 65.2 675
Clay MONTCLAIR 04 B 3 27 47.3 51.5 55.2 66.6 Gov 10 64 53.4 60.1 755
Clay MONTCLAIR 04 C 3 39 49.4 46.3 58.1 68.3 Gov 10 59.8 55.7 67 880
Clay MONTCLAIR 04 D 2 16 50.4 41.2 65.4 75.9 Gov 10 68.7 56.9 55.9 562
Clay NEWCOMERSTOWN 1 1 13 47.6 54.5 54.9 70.1 Cong 12 69.2 53.6 51.1 848
Clay NEWCOMERSTOWN 2 4 55 38.7 54.2 42.2 56.7 Cong 12 62.6 43.6 42.8 743
Clay NEWCOMERSTOWN 3 3 60 40.1 45.2 44.1 57.5 Cong 12 64.5 45.2 47 676
Clay OXFORD TWP 2 10 50.3 51 63.1 72.1 Cong 12 66.9 56.6 53.3 748
Clay PERRY TWP 3 56 41.7 41.7 52.5 60.8 Cong 12 65.9 47.2 62.4 279
Clay PORT WILLIAMS VLG 1 14 44 61.8 60 74.7 StRep10 65.1 49.5 54.7 307
Clay RUSH TWP 3 35 45.4 42.7 59 64.2 Cong 12 69.3 51.3 56.9 455
Clay SALEM TWP 1 15 46.9 65.1 54.2 70.3 Cong 12 67.1 52.7 54.7 711
Clay SANDY TWP EAST 5 66 40.6 44.5 43.5 56.5 Gov 10 62.1 45.7 49.1 782
Clay SANDY TWP WEST 5 64 42.2 36.9 48.7 57.6 Gov 10 62.6 47.6 59.4 646
Clay STONEHAM/JEFF TWP 2 8 52.4 50 65.1 74.3 Cong 12 69.6 59.1 64.8 627
Clay STRATFORD VILL 1 1 17 48.6 55.5 57.7 69.7 Gov 10 62.4 54.7 57 788
Clay STRATFORD VILL 2 3 43 43.8 49.9 52 65.1 Cong 12 63 49.5 62 768
Clay SUSANVILLE VLG2 2 3 57 53.3 74.2 80.8 Cong 12 71 64.4 53.7 521
Clay SUSANVILLE TWP 1 1 59.4 53.8 76.4 79.3 Romney 75.8 66.9 48 734
Clay SUSANVILLE VLG 1 1 2 55.8 57 73.7 78.1 Gov 10 69.7 62.9 53.7 903
Clay TETERIS VILL 4 58 36.6 50.7 43.6 58.3 Gov 10 63.6 41.2 60.6 686
Clay UNION CITY 1 5 75 35 46.2 40.4 52.2 Cong 12 57.6 39.5 56.6 579
Clay UNION CITY 2 5 79 34.4 43.7 36.8 52.3 Gov 10 61.5 38.8 47.9 652
Clay UNION CITY 3 5 70 33.3 46.2 38 53.4 Cong 12 63.2 37.5 45.9 767
Clay UNION CITY 4 5 72 33.5 42 37.4 52.4 Gov 10 65.9 37.7 47.4 704
Clay UNION TWP 3 51 41.4 46.6 52 61 Cong 12 63.6 46.6 57 820
Clay WARREN TWP 3 33 48.3 44 57.5 67.5 Gov 10 65.7 54.4 56.6 775
Clay WARWICK TWP EAST 3 50 41.3 44.1 46.4 63.2 Cong 12 68.4 46.6 63.9 545
Clay WARWICK TWP WEST 5 76 35.7 41.9 42.8 54.6 Cong 12 60 40.4 63.5 545
Clay WASHINGTON TWP 3 44 46.5 42 57.2 64.4 Cong 12 63.5 52.4 57.2 444
Clay WAYNE TWP 2 6 55.6 51 72.2 75.4 Gov 10 74 62.6 53.8 870
Clay YORK TWP 3 20 48.4 49 60.1 69.3 Cong 12 65.7 54.6 63.1 884
Avg. R Ticket Pres High R Marriage Percent Turnout Registered
Cat. Precincts Percent Split Avg Percent Race Issue Needed Percent Voters
Category 1 Ticket-Splitters 12 53.7 0 59.2 68.9 Cong 12 64.4 55.8 57.1 9,010
Category 2 Base Republican 13 58.2 0 64.9 71.7 Gov 10 68.6 61.3 58.1 8,718
Category 3 Aspiring Republican 34 50 0 53.7 63.7 Cong 12 62.4 51.5 58.7 23,855
Category 4 Base Democrat 4 41.2 0 41.5 54 Cong 12 62.6 42.9 52 2,407
Category 5 Solid Democrat 18 40.2 0 40.7 51.6 Cong 12 59.5 41.2 49.7 12,305
REPORT TOTAL 81 49.5 0 53.1 62.8 Cong 12 63.1 51.3 56.1 56,295